Sunday was an EIGHT Green Arrow Day.

Herd Immunity…Very Close

Good Morning,

Sunday was an EIGHT Green Arrow Day; below are the particulars.

In the USA, we have now administered almost 302 million doses as of April 6, 2021. Of which 139 million have completed their entire regimen. The vaccine distribution continues to expand (more outlets), and all restrictions of access, such as age, have been lifted. About 42% of our citizens have completed their respective dose regimens.

There are 31.9 million citizens that require a second shot to complete their regimen. Once theirs are complete, that would increase those vaccinated to 52%. As new cases fall, the conundrum is that people might lose their desire to get one for themselves. It might be a challenge to have that number reach a 70% level, ever.

The combination of the 139 million, plus the recorded (20 million net, less the duplicates) and unrecorded (74 million) recovers make our Herd Immunity Factor (HIF) 233 million or 70% of our population. Said a bit different, only 99 million citizens don’t have either vaccination or self-created immunity (those that had the virus), and only 114,000 currently are virus carriers.

The CDC has stated that the 70% to 80% threshold is needed for Herd Immunity to take full effect. We are now at the 70% HIF level; a similar mark previously reached in Israel when their new case rates plummeted. We see that pattern directly in the USA.

The chart below shows an 82% drop in new cases since the week of April 18th. We expect this favorable trend to continue.