Sunday was an EIGHT Green Arrow Day.

It Is Spreading

Good Morning,
We have now administered over 356 million doses as of August 15, 2021, 4 million more from the previous week. Of which 168 million have completed their entire regimen, an increase of 1.8 million compared to the prior week. It doesn’t appear that the recent flux of new cases is significantly driving more to get their vaccinations as we are only averaging 1.8 million over the last several weeks. 50% of our citizens have completed their respective dose regimens. We are trending to nearly a 1% uptick per week of those fully vaccinated.

There are 30 million citizens that require a second shot to complete their regimen. Once theirs are complete, that would increase those vaccinated to 59%. The combination of the 168 million, plus the recorded (18 million net, less the duplicates) and unrecorded (37 million minus the duplicates) recovers make our Herd Immunity Factor (HIF) 223 million or 67% of our population.

We are using a 333 million population for the USA for calculation purposes, with approximately 50 million children under twelve. According to the CDC, they ought not to get a vaccination. That means the eligible population is 283 million. There are 115 million Americans that have, to date, not been “completely” vaccinated. Based on the recent averages (1.8 million vaccinated / week) and excluding the children, it will take 36 weeks for all eligible to be vaccinated.

The trend for new cases has surged over the past several weeks. Notice in the graph below (green arrow) that the case rate dropped by more than 80%, which coincides with a jump in vaccinations. In the next several weeks (orange arrow), the new case and vaccination rates flattened. In the last several weeks (red arrow), we see a surge of new patients.