October 19, 2020

Yesterday was a NINE GREEN Arrow Day.

Fatality Rate Continues Favorable Trend

Good Morning,

Yesterday was a NINE Green Arrow Day. Below are the particulars for the day.

We reached a high of more than 14,000 deaths per week in April. The corresponding weekly number dropped below 7,000 in August, 6,000 in September, and for the latest week, it is averaging about 5,000. The below graph shows the “first wave” trend and then the “second wave.”

The primary credit for this favorable trend should go to the medical teams that worked together to minimize the impact of COVID 19. Said differently, our collective healthcare system now knows how to treat better and care for patients. This improvement shows up in intensive care bed utilization, which was over 19,000/day in the Spring and now averages 15,000/day.

Several world-renowned epidemiologists believe there is no practical way to contain COVID 19; it will merely run its course. Worldwide the virus is going through a second wave as countries use different strategies to minimize the spread. What is important is those most vulnerable are protected because of almost all that contract the virus recover.

Fatalities in the USA as of October 18th

Fatalities in the USA

The graph covers the period from week ending April 4, 2020, through October 18, 2020.

Note the two arrows showing the trends for each of the two waves.

Source: Worldometer

October 19th Green arrows

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